After a big bump in 2017, Tom Brady inched up a tenth of a point in 2018. Following the 2019 Super Bowl, he sits at 30.33, still 0.66 behind Peyton Manning. Has he plateaued? There was just a hint of regression this year, and it may be that after 309 games, time is catching up with him.

The top 5 (retired) quarterbacks by the Apples & Oranges method:

1. Sammy Baugh, 32.18
2. Peyton Manning, 30.89
3. Sid Luckman, 28.35
4. Dan Marino, 27.52
5. Steve Young, 27.22

Brady’s right there; he just needs one more great season to get past Manning. Baugh is out of reach, but I suspect most football fans won’t count a QB who started playing in the 1930s. Brett Favre lost a full point in his last, ill-fated seasons, but I don’t see Brady slipping to that extent, and he has a big cushion to Luckman, so the third spot, at least, is probably locked up.